Exploring the crime drop in Scottish communities through latent class analysis


This event will follow the 'An Introduction to Latent Class Analysis' training course, but individuals are not required to have attended the training to attend this lecture as it is open to all.

Scotland’s crime has fallen nationally, but has crime also fallen in all neighbourhoods or has the crime drop been experienced unevenly at a local level? Can some neighbourhoods be considered ‘winners’ in Scotland’s crime drop and others ‘losers’? Latent class analysis, in the form of group trajectory analysis, has been applied by researchers in the United States to explore crime change over time in micro-neighbourhoods in Seattle. This seminar will present research by AQMeN which has also used latent class analysis to look at changes in crime in Scotland across time at data zone level (a geography designed to present census and other administrative data for local neighbourhoods). This research suggests that there are local differences between neighbourhoods in both levels of recorded crime, and how much crime has reduced, across a 15 year time period. The seminar will also consider the strengths, methodological challenges and limitations of using latent class analysis to explore the crime drop at a local neighbourhood level.

The seminar will be presented by Dr Ellie Bates, AQMeN Research Fellow in Criminology.


Wednesday, November 18, 2015 - 00:00
Seminar Room 6, Chrystal Macmillan Building

Research Strand: